Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1.410338 1.618579 1.847420 2.117641 2.428145 2.773941 3.188516
2025-06-29 1.074527 1.336152 1.647592 2.046003 2.542753 3.142556 3.923168
2025-07-06 0.825682 1.099860 1.449442 1.928587 2.569640 3.399783 4.559969
2025-07-13 0.712117 1.008399 1.409953 1.995260 2.829267 3.979092 5.692242
2025-07-20 0.629294 0.941334 1.388062 2.076267 3.114166 4.628316 7.018766
2025-07-27 0.559877 0.880094 1.361849 2.142253 3.381524 5.284938 8.453020
2025-08-03 0.494392 0.813115 1.314827 2.165757 3.582391 5.863349 9.848728
2025-08-10 0.424477 0.727627 1.225013 2.104907 3.634713 6.207127 10.907437
2025-08-17 0.359064 0.639434 1.117367 1.996412 3.587335 6.372220 11.676504
2025-08-24 0.317764 0.586646 1.061850 1.968677 3.673495 6.773704 12.916204
2025-08-31 0.281771 0.538123 1.006841 1.932891 3.737438 7.139276 14.135699
2025-09-07 0.266338 0.525576 1.015397 2.016222 4.035469 7.977315 16.383713
2025-09-14 0.243046 0.495940 0.990104 2.035184 4.220256 8.641504 18.428494
2025-09-21 0.217469 0.458269 0.944265 2.006761 4.305988 9.122081 20.174613
2025-09-28 0.189100 0.410887 0.872508 1.914167 4.243538 9.286836 21.267154
2025-10-05 0.179577 0.402327 0.880445 1.994061 4.567622 10.327524 24.492688
2025-10-12 0.171540 0.395873 0.891943 2.083398 4.926103 11.496557 28.208841
2025-10-19 0.162739 0.386416 0.895425 2.154674 5.253040 12.640559 32.053454
2025-10-26 0.151677 0.370106 0.881006 2.181305 5.476570 13.571683 35.521114
2025-11-02 0.136418 0.341576 0.834073 2.121704 5.477594 13.958711 37.650230
2025-11-09 0.120146 0.308308 0.771317 2.013266 5.337723 13.969752 38.778976
2025-11-16 0.110046 0.289357 0.741561 1.985831 5.406233 14.529895 41.506998
2025-11-23 0.100571 0.270763 0.710314 1.950037 5.447053 15.022488 44.128069